Are You Smart? Or Just Plain Lucky?
I chanced upon this YouTube clip which I felt was really worth the watch.
I highly recommend going through it.
He made a computer simulation whereby luck is only a 5% factor of a potential candidate.
And yet, with just a potential up to 5% bonus in "stats", the result was significant over a large population.
Within a large population, there are a lot of hardworking and smart people. The "stats" that each one is born with... well it's pretty average over a large population.
I ran a similar experiment.
For a population of 18,000, I ran some random numbers.
For the skill stat, I ran random numbers between 0 to 95.
For luck stat, I ran random numbers between 0 to 5.
With a large population size, there will be many people with high skill stats.
So the only differentiating factor is how much more luck that person is.
I cut out only the top 100 ranked to show.
On the left, I arranged in descending order based on Skill + Luck and ranked them.
The top 12 people need to have BOTH skill and luck.
On the right, I arranged in descending order ONLY BASED on SKILL.
As you can see, on the right, there are people with full 95 points of skill or 94.99 of skill. But are not in the top ranks on the left cos they just don't have the luck.
If based purely on skill, the 5th ranked candidate is actually ranked 99th.
That's not to say that skill is useless. Skill is also very important.
BUT in a large population, the differentiating factor could just be that small additional bit of luck for the right time, right place, met the right person, sent to right email with the right words to the right person, etc etc... AND you also need skill.
What's left is really how luck changes the outcome.
That doesn't mean just sit down and wait for things to happen. It also means to work hard and try to be smart and learn from others and all that.
AND to capitalize it when luck shines on you.
It's the idea of... if you want to strike the lottery, the least you could do is to buy a lottery ticket.
Unless of course you expect to be doubly lucky and FIND the winning ticket on the floor.
So the important thing is to be hardworking and smart and be willing to learn.
And when luck comes along, then recognize it and make full use of it.
Regardless, there's really no point in blaming bad luck, cos... well... there's nothing one can do about it.
We can only do what we can. And even if we are jealous of someone else's good luck... well... also nothing we can do about that as well. Their luck doesn't really affect our luck so... Life goes on.
We need to do what we can with what we have.
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